FERC Rejected PJM's Data Center Fix. Can Illinois's POWER Act Protect Your Bill?
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FERC Rejected PJM's Data Center Fix. Can Illinois's POWER Act Protect Your Bill?

Ryan Cook•

FERC said no. On October 9, 2026, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission rejected most of PJM's plan to make new data centers bring their own power or get cut off first in a grid emergency. It kept only a 50-megawatt definition of a "large load" and a registry to track them. That leaves the question of who pays for data centers' power with the states. In Illinois, the answer runs through House Bill 5513 and Senate Bill 4016, which backers call the POWER Act. Neither has passed, and the next chance is the fall veto session, November 17–19 and December 1–3.

If you're a ComEd customer, this matters because PJM's capacity auction is one of the fastest-growing pieces of your bill, and the next one runs in December. Here's what happened, what the Illinois bill would actually do, and what you can do while Springfield sorts it out.

The short version

What Status Source
FERC order on PJM's large-load plan Accepted the 50 MW definition and Large Load Registry (effective Oct. 12, 2026). Rejected the rest FERC Docket ER26-3515-000, issued Oct. 9, 2026
PJM's own warning Short of capacity starting the 2027/2028 delivery year, "particularly due to data center load growth" Same order, summarizing PJM's filing
Next PJM capacity auction 2029/2030 auction set to run in December 2026 Same order
PJM capacity prices already locked $329.17 (2026-27), $333.44 (2027-28), $325 (2028-29) per MW-day, up from $28.92 in 2024-25 PJM auction results
Illinois POWER Act (HB 5513 / SB 4016) Not passed. HB 5513 in House Rules since Mar. 27, 2026. SB 4016 in Senate Assignments since May 22, 2026 ilga.gov bill status
Fall veto session days Nov. 17, 18, 19 and Dec. 1, 2, 3, 2026 Illinois Senate 2026 veto calendar
State data center tax breaks New agreements paused starting July 1, 2026 Governor's office, June 5, 2026
ComEd price to compare 10.103¢/kWh, Oct. 1, 2026 – May 31, 2027 Plug In Illinois

What PJM asked for, and what FERC threw out

PJM runs the grid for northern Illinois. In August it told FERC it'll be short of the power plants it needs starting in the 2027/2028 delivery year, and it blamed data centers. Its fix had a few moving parts.

New data centers could plug in before there was enough generation to cover them. In exchange, they'd be first in line to be cut off in an emergency. Utilities serving them could avoid that by bringing new capacity of their own. And starting with the 2029/2030 delivery year, those new data centers would be left out of the demand curve PJM uses to decide how much capacity to buy at auction.

FERC rejected all of that. The order says the core pieces are "either outside of the Commission's authority or have not been sufficiently demonstrated to be just and reasonable." The commission added: "We do not take this decision lightly." It kept only the 50 MW definition and the registry, and it gave PJM guidance in case it wants to refile.

The detail that matters for your bill is the demand-curve piece. Because it was rejected, new data center demand still counts when PJM sets how much capacity to buy. PJM itself blames data center growth for the capacity shortfall behind the jump from $28.92 to the $325–$333 range. Unless PJM refiles and wins approval in time, the December auction runs without that change.

My honest take: some of FERC's legal reasoning makes sense. Deciding which retail customers get cut off has always been a state job. But the practical effect is that nobody at the federal level is going to make data centers carry their own weight this winter.

What the Illinois POWER Act would actually do

I read the bill. The introduced version of HB 5513 runs 638 pages, so here are the parts that touch your electric bill.

  • Who it covers: "hyperscale" data centers, defined as facilities with demand over 50,000 kilowatts (50 MW) in the past 12 months or forecast for the next 12.
  • Special rates: within 90 days of the law taking effect, every Illinois electric utility would file a data center tariff. The cost of serving them, including high-voltage lines above 100 kilovolts, would be "allocated to those customers and are not socialized to other rate classes."
  • Protection if a project walks away: minimum charges, minimum contract lengths, collateral, and exit fees "to mitigate the risk of stranded costs for other customers."
  • Bring your own power: data centers would connect on a nonfirm basis, meaning they can be curtailed, for any load not backed by new capacity they bring themselves. They'd earn firm service as they add it.
  • An annual fee: $2 million a year for 50–99.9 MW, rising in steps to $12 million for 1,000 MW or more, paid into a Hyperscale Data Center Public Benefits and Affordability Fund.
  • A deadline for regulators: the Illinois Commerce Commission would have up to 240 days to approve, reject, or modify each utility's tariff.

Notice what that list is. It's the state version of what PJM tried and FERC refused. FERC said retail rules belong to the states, and this bill is a state writing retail rules.

There's one more piece solar homeowners will like. Tucked inside the same bill is the Residential Automated Solar Permitting Platform Act. It would require counties and towns to adopt instant online permitting for home solar by July 1, 2027. A town that already issues residential solar permits in person within 5 business days would be exempt. Permits can add weeks to an install in some towns, so that part would help regardless of the data center fight.

Will it lower your bill?

Not the bill you're paying now. Here's why I'd keep your expectations realistic.

First, the auctions that already cleared stay cleared. PJM's capacity prices through May 2029 are set, and no state law reopens them. Second, even a fast bill takes time. If it passed in the veto session, the 90-day filing window plus up to 240 days at the ICC adds up to as much as roughly 11 months after the law takes effect before the first data center tariff is in place. Third, whatever passes will likely be amended. Governor Pritzker's June 5 framework asks lawmakers to "assign the costs that data centers impose on the electric grid to the new data center rate class," and a narrower bill aimed at that would be my guess. That's a guess, not a forecast.

What the bill can do is keep the next round of data center costs off household bills. That's worth something, and it's why the Illinois Clean Jobs Coalition introduced it. My data centers and your electric bill breakdown covers how much of the recent spike traces to data center demand, and my PJM auction post shows why the capacity piece won't fall soon.

If you're an Ameren customer

FERC's order doesn't reach you directly. Central and southern Illinois are on MISO, a different grid operator. MISO's 2025-26 auction cleared at $666.50 per megawatt-day for summer, and the 2026-27 auction cleared at $424.30 for summer 2026. My Ameren and MISO post walks through that side.

The state bill is a different story. As introduced, it applies to "all electric utilities in the State," so Ameren would file a data center tariff too. Downstate, the veto session matters more to you than anything FERC does.

What you can control while Springfield decides

You don't get a vote at FERC, and the veto session is weeks away. What you can decide is how much of your power comes from the grid at all.

For reference, ComEd's price to compare is 10.103¢ per kWh through May 31, 2027, and the estimated all-in rate with delivery runs around 16¢ this winter. Ameren's price to compare is 10.441¢ for the first 800 kWh and 8.262¢ above that through May 2027. Check yours on my ComEd rates and Ameren rates pages, or see what's driving it in why your ComEd bill is so high.

A solar lease in Illinois can start at a predictable rate as low as $0.10 per kWh, with $0 down and a 25-year term. Your full 25-year rate schedule is set in your contract before you sign, so it doesn't swing when the next auction clears. If you'd rather own, I'll price a cash system next to it. For income-qualified households, Illinois Solar for All offers "guaranteed savings with no solar payment & reduced utility bills," which is the program's own language.

Run your numbers on the savings calculator, or call me at (618) 217-2001. I'm a local installer working with trusted Illinois partners, and I'll show you lease, cash, and Solar for All side by side. I'll also post an update here after the veto session.

Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

FERC rejected most of it. In an order issued October 9, 2026, in Docket ER26-3515-000, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission accepted only two pieces of PJM's August 13 filing: a definition of a large load as 50 megawatts or more, and a Large Load Registry that tracks those facilities, both effective October 12, 2026. It rejected the rest, including the Interim Resource Adequacy Service, which would have let new data centers connect without bringing their own power in exchange for being cut off first in grid emergencies, the bring-your-own-new-capacity rules, and a change that would have kept new data center demand out of PJM's capacity demand curve starting with the 2029/2030 delivery year. FERC said those parts were either outside its authority or not shown to be just and reasonable. PJM can refile, and FERC's order includes guidance on how it could. The 2029/2030 capacity auction is set to run in December 2026.
It's the name backers use for House Bill 5513 and Senate Bill 4016, both titled Hyperscale Data Centers. As introduced in February 2026, the bill would make every Illinois electric utility file special rate tariffs for data centers with demand over 50,000 kilowatts within 90 days of the law taking effect. Those tariffs would have to assign the cost of serving the data centers, including high-voltage lines above 100 kilovolts, to the data centers themselves, and not spread it to other rate classes. They'd also add minimum charges, exit fees, and collateral to protect other customers from stranded costs, and connect data centers on a nonfirm basis unless they bring their own new capacity. Data centers would pay an annual fee of $2 million to $12 million, depending on peak demand, into a Public Benefits and Affordability Fund. The bill also requires counties and towns to adopt instant online permitting for home solar by July 1, 2027.
Not yet. Neither version made it through the spring 2026 session. House Bill 5513 was re-referred to the House Rules Committee on March 27, 2026, and Senate Bill 4016 was re-referred to Senate Assignments on May 22, 2026. Both remain pending in the 104th General Assembly (2025–2026), so lawmakers can still take them up. The next scheduled session days are the fall veto session: November 17, 18, and 19, and December 1, 2, and 3, 2026, per the Illinois Senate's 2026 veto calendar. Governor Pritzker paused new Data Center Investment Program tax-incentive agreements starting July 1, 2026, and called on the General Assembly to act in the veto session, including assigning the grid costs data centers impose to a new data center rate class. Any bill that moves in the veto session will probably look different from the February text, so watch for an amendment rather than the original 638-page bill.
Not right away, and probably not by lowering what you pay today. ComEd's price to compare is 10.103 cents per kWh from October 1, 2026 through May 31, 2027, and PJM capacity prices are already set at $329.17, $333.44, and $325 per megawatt-day for the delivery years through May 2029. No state law reopens those auctions. What the bill aims to do is stop new data center costs from landing on households going forward: grid upgrades charged to the data center, exit fees if a project walks away, and connections that can be curtailed unless the data center brings its own new capacity. Even if it passes in the veto session, utilities would get 90 days to file tariffs and the Illinois Commerce Commission up to 240 days to rule. That's up to roughly 11 months after the law takes effect before the first data center rate is in place. Think of it as protection against the next increase, not a refund of the last one.
Not directly. FERC's October 9 order covers PJM, the grid operator for ComEd's northern Illinois territory. Ameren Illinois customers in central and southern Illinois are in MISO, a different grid operator with its own capacity auction, which cleared at $666.50 per megawatt-day for summer 2025 and $424.30 for summer 2026. The Illinois POWER Act is different. As introduced, House Bill 5513 says all electric utilities in the state must file data center tariffs, so it would cover Ameren as well as ComEd if it passes in that form. Ameren's price to compare is 10.441 cents per kWh for the first 800 kWh and 8.262 cents above that, from October 2026 through May 2027. If you're downstate, the state bill matters more to you than the FERC ruling, because it reaches your utility no matter which grid operator runs the auction.

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See the average Illinois electric rate now, why bills jumped June 1, and what changed October 1.The Iran War Is Sending Oil Prices Through the Roof — Will Your Illinois Electric Bill Follow?Oil is at $112/barrel after the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Here's how the Iran conflict could push Illinois electricity rates even higher — and what you can do now.Why Your Ameren Bill Keeps Going Up (and What MISO Has to Do With It)Ameren bills jumped 18-22% in summer 2025 and rose again June 1, 2026. Here's why MISO capacity auctions are driving your rates up and what you can do about it.The Real Cost of Solar Panels in Illinois: 2026 BreakdownWhat do solar panels actually cost in Illinois in 2026? Real numbers for cash purchase, lease, and Solar for All — from an installer who gets prices below the state average.Selling a House With Leased Solar Panels in Illinois (2026 Guide)Selling a house with leased solar panels in Illinois? Here's how the lease transfer works, what buyers actually think, and why it's not the problem most people expect — owned systems too.Solar Lease vs Buying Panels: I Did the Math for IllinoisShould you lease or buy solar panels in Illinois? I broke down the real numbers for both paths using current 2026 prices, incentives, and Ameren/ComEd rates.Data Centers = 70% of Illinois's Rate Spike (Here's What It Costs You)Data centers drove 70% of Illinois's capacity-cost spike in 2026. See the PJM/MISO mechanism, the per-household cost impact, and what to do to protect your bill.ComEd Rate Increase 2026: Oct 1 Supply Drops to 10.103¢, but Delivery Didn'tUpdated Oct 2026: ComEd's 2026 rate increase put the Price to Compare at 10.399¢/kWh through September 30; from October 1 it is 10.103¢/kWh. What changed June 1, what reset October 1, the ICC delivery increases that didn't reset, and your all-in cost per kWh.Illinois Electricity Rates Have Nearly Doubled Since 2021 — Here's What That Means for Your BillIllinois electricity rates have surged 90%+ since 2021. Here's what's driving the increases, what to expect next, and how to protect your household.Illinois Solar Incentives 2026: 7 Programs Worth $12,000-$18,000+Illinois solar incentives 2026: Illinois Shines RECs, the new $20/REC customer-owned adder, $300/kW DG rebate, battery rebate, net metering, and property tax exemption — worth $12,000-$18,000+ on an owned system. Plus no-cost Solar for All for income-eligible households.Solar Battery Backup in Illinois — What It Actually Powers and Whether It's Worth ItWhat does a solar battery actually run during an outage? How much does it cost with the $300/kWh rebate? Here's the honest breakdown for Illinois homeowners.

“41 panels, $10/month electric bills. Ryan stayed on top of the project from start to finish.”

Bruce Brooks
Bruce BrooksShiloh, IL

“$10/month Ameren bills since June 2023. Outstanding knowledge and responsiveness.”

Rod Hinrichs
Rod HinrichsFreeburg, IL

“Ryan is knowledgeable, caring, and a really good listener. I highly recommend discussing solar with him.”

LH
Linda HaycraftShiloh, IL

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